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New astro-ph.* submissions cross listed on stat.*, physics.data-an, cs.AI, cs.LG staritng 202607172000 and ending 202607232000

Feed last updated: 2026-07-23T06:22:38Z

A Deep Learning Framework for Predicting Solar EUV Irradiance During Significant Flares

Authors: Sathvik Soman, Jason T. L. Wang, Haimin Wang, Haodi Jiang
Comments: 8 pages, 9 figures
Primary Category: astro-ph.SR
All Categories: astro-ph.SR, astro-ph.IM, cs.LG

We present FlareEUV, a multimodal deep learning framework for predicting daily extreme ultraviolet (EUV) irradiance at 6.5 nm over three consecutive days during significant solar flares, using multi-instrument observations from NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO). We consider 33 significant flares in the period between 2011 and 2014 in Solar Cycle 24. The SDO observations include 13 co-aligned full-disk images, comprising eight AIA EUV/UV and five HMI magnetic/continuum products. FlareEUV learns the relationship between magnetic structure and coronal emission from the raw imaging data using a lightweight attention-based architecture. Our experimental results demonstrate the good performance of FlareEUV in short-term EUV irradiance forecasting during the significant flares and its superiority over baseline methods.


Dynamical and Optimization Trade-offs of Levi--Civita Coordinates for Learned Close-Encounter Dynamics

Authors: Abhishek Shankar
Comments: 16 pages, 4 figures
Primary Category: physics.comp-ph
All Categories: physics.comp-ph, astro-ph.EP, cs.LG

Classical regularization removes the binary-collision singularity from the Kepler problem, but its value as a representation for learned Hamiltonian dynamics has not been systematically isolated. We compare Cartesian and planar Levi--Civita formulations of a perturbed Kepler system with a smooth quadrupole potential. With the perturbation supplied analytically, a Levi--Civita Hamiltonian splitting holds the maximum relative energy error near $2.1\times10^{-5}$ through eccentricity $e=0.99$, while the Cartesian splitting becomes unstable. This advantage persists at matched physical horizon and force-evaluation budget, where the regularized baseline is $3\times10^{-5}$, about $4.7$--$8.3$ orders of magnitude below the Cartesian arm depending on eccentricity. In held-out high-eccentricity tests with matched sampling, regularized models produce finite rollouts in $40/40$ runs versus $0/40$ for Cartesian. However, the fixed-shell construction supplies the regularized model with the exact initial orbit energy, and survival still carries $\mathcal{O}(1)$ energy error. Four neural residual objectives fail to approach the analytic result. Exact-feature controls show that the regularized residual is a four-monomial degree-6 polynomial that a direct least-squares solve fits to the baseline. The remaining exact-feature gap is due to severe raw-basis ill-conditioning: orthogonalization restores baseline fitting for L-BFGS in two iterations. Small MLPs remain at $\mathcal{O}(1)$ rollout error even after gauge symmetrization. Levi--Civita coordinates therefore improve dynamical conditioning while worsening raw-basis optimization conditioning; accurate neural residual learning remains unresolved. This is a controlled falsification-plus-trade-off study, not a solution to learned close-encounter dynamics.