Microlensing can reveal populations of faint compact objects that are otherwise difficult to detect. Depending on their design, all-sky surveys have the potential to search for these objects across the sky. The Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS), primarily designed to detect transiting exoplanets, also provides near all-sky coverage with high cadence. In this work, we use TESS data to search for microlensing candidates using both traditional and machine-learning methods and to identify associated false positives in high-cadence surveys. Microlensify is a physics-informed, transformer-based variational autoencoder trained on simulated single-lens microlensing light curves and real TESS Sector 12 data. The model classifies events, reconstructs light curves, and estimates microlensing event durations. Applied to $\sim 5.6$ million TESS light curves, it identified between $0.036\%$ and $1.89\%$ as microlensing candidates across different TESS pipelines. After applying microlensing detection metrics and cross-matching with SIMBAD, we obtained a final list of candidates and identified false positives including long-period variables, Mira variables, cataclysmic variables, red giants, and transients. We also found Gaussian-like peaks caused by asteroid crossings, a potential source of false positives in high-cadence microlensing surveys. The model also predicts event duration with an accuracy of $R^2 = 0.97$. The model was further tested on published events from different ground-based microlensing surveys, confirming 92.7% as microlensing, demonstrating its applicability across surveys with different cadences.
Domain adaptation is widely used to make neural networks trained on simulations applicable to experimental data. Its premise is that the two domains differ only in nuisances, and that the quantity of interest is distributed identically in both. In physics neither assumption holds: simulations can be wrong about the physics, and the distribution of the target quantity - an energy spectrum, a redshift distribution - is often the measurement itself. We study the consequences of such mismatches on a toy air-shower benchmark in which a detector-response nuisance, a physical simulation shift, and an energy-spectrum shift can be switched on separately or together. Standard adversarial adaptation handles the conditional shifts, but once the two spectra differ it aligns them, replacing an uncontrolled bias by one anchored on the simulation prior. We present adaptive domain adaptation, which reweights the simulated events so as to focus domain adaptation on the genuine physical mismatch alone. Since the predicted spectrum depends on model training configuration, we provide a label-free model selection rule for selecting the near-the-best operation point.
The worldwide network of gravitational-wave detectors have detected more than 350 binary coalescence events till date. Future third-generation detectors, like Einstein telescope, are expected to detect orders-of-magnitude more signals from sources with more complicated characteristics, including eccentric orbits and high-mass ratio binaries. It is well-established that the computational cost of parameter estimation for signals from these kinds of sources will be extremely high. In particular, the process could be sped-up if generating theoretical waveform predictions, used for likelihood calculation becomes faster. Recently, various machine-learning techniques has been proposed to this end. In this work, we propose a two-stage deterministic conditional-autoencoder model for generating four-parameter SEOBNRv4 waveforms. The first-stage of the model generates amplitude and phase series of the waveform, while the second-stage calibrates the residual error in the predictions. Our model achieves a median mismatch of around $10^{-2}$ with the target polarization waveforms, while the calibrated amplitude/phase series achieve $10^{-6}$ level cosine distance error. We then propose a waveform conditioning step to enable use of these surrogate waveforms for downstream parameter estimation tasks. Finally, we perform extensive parameter estimation tests, with ML and EOB waveform injections and try to recover posterior estimates for the source parameters. We find that when ML waveforms are used to recover EOB target parameter estimates, the inferred posterior have some systematic bias. This inherent bias can be estimated and corrected for, and then importance reweighting of posterior samples can enable use of low-accuracy surrogate waveforms at low SNRs.
Modern machine learning is leading to substantial gains in precision, flexibility, and computational efficiency in fundamental physics. Statistical validation, uncertainty quantification, and robustness assessment are less systematically addressed. The VERaiPHY initiative (Validation & Evaluation for Robust AI in PHYsics) is a series of articles developed within the PHYSTAT programme, aimed at establishing statistical standards for the development, evaluation, and deployment of ML techniques. Each article focuses on a specific methodological domain from a statistics perspective and clarifies statistical questions, tests, and the interpretation of results. This opening article establishes the probabilistic, statistical, and machine learning foundations that the later contributions assume, together with the notation used throughout.