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New astro-ph.* submissions cross listed on physics.data-an, stat.*, cs.LG, cs.AI staritng 202609292000 and ending 202610052000

Feed last updated: 2026-10-05T10:57:08Z

A Missing Latent, Not a Missing Simulator: Radius-Augmented Inference for Real JWST Retrieval

Authors: Angshuman Chakravertty, P V V Raj
Comments: 6 pages, 2 figures, 2 tables. Includes appendix and paper checklist
Primary Category: astro-ph.IM
All Categories: astro-ph.IM, astro-ph.EP, cs.LG

Amortized simulation-based inference (SBI), which is trained on radiative-transfer simulators, recovers exoplanet atmospheres accurately on synthetic James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) spectra but collapses when it comes to real reduced spectra. The flow posterior collapsed on real WASP-39b (importance-sampling effective sample size (ESS) = 1, best-fit \c{hi}2/N = 301), and such a failure is usually blamed on missing the forward-model physics, but ruling these levers out with nested sampling first (a temperature gradient, SO2 opacity, and a high-fidelity opacity set) leaves the fit unchanged, meaning the collapse is not from the simulator misspecification but instead from a missing latent, the planet radius. To fix this, we build MIRAGE, a radius-augmented flow-matching posterior calibrated against an independent nested-sampling reference with importance sampling and an optimal-transport map, which yields a physical and literature-consistent retrieval of real WASP-39b (with \c{hi}2/N from 301 to 0.06). This same method transfers unchanged across two instruments and three real JWST targets, including one spectrum self-reduced end-to-end from raw Mikulski Archive for Space Telescopes(MAST) data. The lesson is cross-domain, as a latent the simulator encodes but the inference omits can masquerade as misspecification.


A Probabilistic Trajectory and Dispersion Study of Martian Tumbleweed Rover Swarms in Global Dust Storm Conditions

Authors: Emma-Catherine Belhadfa, Gabriele MT D'Eleuterio
Comments: No comment found
Primary Category: astro-ph.EP
All Categories: astro-ph.EP, astro-ph.IM, nlin.AO, physics.data-an, stat.AP

Global Dust Storms (GDSs) dominate the Martian climate, yet the mechanisms of dust lifting, transport, and deposition remain poorly constrained because in situ observations are limited: landers are stationary, and their Radioisotope Thermoelectric Generators (RTGs) contaminate local measurements. Our solution is a swarm of lightweight, wind-propelled spherical rovers -- Dust Rovers (DRs) -- that follow natural wind patterns to collect high-spatial-resolution in situ dust data during storms. Here, we quantify the dispersion and communication connectivity of this robotic architecture. Using 625 wind states calculated using the Mars Climate Database (MCD) for the MY34 storm at the Curiosity site, we build a bivariate-normal model of the near-surface wind velocity and characterise its diurnal structure. Rover trajectories and swarm dispersion are propagated with three integrators: the Euler and fourth-order Runge-Kutta schemes for the deterministic dynamics, and a stochastic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck formulation that simulates turbulent gust forcing. Dispersion is controlled by the unmeasured gust correlation time: with a static rolling threshold enforced, the white-gust case (tau_g = Delta t = 1 s) provides a two-rover separation below 1 m over an hour (0.44 km over a sol), whereas correlation times of 10-60 s yield 6-25 m over an hour (1.4-3.3 km over a sol). We demonstrate that a 20-rover swarm needs only a 1.6-4.1 km per-rover range to remain connected over a sol, and stays connected across the plausible envelope -- for gust amplitudes up to twice the nominal value with tau_g <= 60 s, and at the nominal amplitude up to tau_g ~ 150 s.


Mesoscale Turbulence in Type Ia Supernova Deflagrations II. Evidence for Fuel Preheat Due to Flame Thermal Expansion from Lagrangian Analysis

Authors: Ryan Learn, Andrey Zhiglo, Tomasz Plewa
Comments: 33 pages, 14 figures, 2 appendices; submitted for publication in The Astrophysical Journal
Primary Category: astro-ph.SR
All Categories: astro-ph.SR, astro-ph.HE, physics.data-an, physics.flu-dyn, physics.plasm-ph

Thermonuclear flame fronts in Type Ia supernovae develop hydrodynamic instabilities that generate turbulent mesoscale flow and substantial local thermodynamic variability. Recent work by \citet{Brooker+25} demonstrated systematic shortening of fuel ignition times near Rayleigh--Taylor unstable deflagration fronts, but the physical origin remained unclear. We investigate the thermodynamic evolution of fuel near the flame front using multidimensional simulations and Lagrangian tracer-particle analysis, focusing on flame-driven expansion and ignition-time variability in partially degenerate carbon--oxygen plasma. Tracer trajectories show that the most strongly preconditioned fuel parcels near the flame front, which form a minority of the fuel layer, undergo approximately pressure-constrained expansion with modest density reductions and temperature increases of $\approx 2\times10^{8}$~K to $\approx7\times10^{8}$~K ($\approx13$ to $63$ per cent above the unperturbed fuel temperature) between the low- and high-density models. Despite moderate thermodynamic perturbations, the strong temperature sensitivity of carbon ignition produces substantial shortening of ignition times. The results indicate a two-step mechanism: flame thermal expansion perturbs the fuel away from hydrostatic equilibrium, while restoration of pressure balance by weak acoustic waves redistributes internal energy from degenerate to thermal components. This raises the fuel temperature and produces localized thermodynamic preconditioning. These results suggest that unsteady thermonuclear flames can shorten ignition times ahead of the flame, influencing fuel over distances larger than the laminar flame thickness. Whether this preconditioning leads to secondary ignition or contributes to deflagration-to-detonation transition remains untested here, as nuclear burning is disabled in the analyzed fuel.


MADGRAV: a multilevel anomaly-detection pipeline for gravitational-wave searches applied to LIGO data

Authors: Gianluca Inguglia, Huw Haigh, Ulyana Dupletsa, Alessandro Longo
Comments: 16 pages, 6 figures, submitted to CQG
Primary Category: gr-qc
All Categories: gr-qc, astro-ph.IM, cs.LG

We present the results of \textbf{MADGRAV}, a deep-learning-based search for high-mass compact binary coalescences, applied to the data collected by the LIGO interferometers during the third observing run and during the first and second part of the fourth observing run. The \textbf{MADGRAV} pipeline consists of a series of sequential convolutional neural networks that perform anomaly detection, glitch classification, coherence testing, and signal ranking. Data from the Hanford and Livingston LIGO detectors are studied (both individually and in coherence) by way of 1 second Q-transform windows. Of the candidates that survive every stage of the pipeline, 48 reach the significance threshold, and we report 47 gravitational wave detections characterised by a false alarm rate below $1\,{\rm yr}^{-1}$ with a probability of astrophysical origin $p_{\rm astro}>0.9$. Of the 47 detections, 44 are shared with the minimally modelled coherent WaveBurst search. The observed total source-frame masses, extracted from official gravitational wave transient catalogues, are in the $14-236 M_{\odot}$ range with a median of $69 M_{\odot}$, and a median SNR of 16. We note that the recovered fraction of confident detections rises with mass: for LIGO detectors network SNR $>10$ the pipeline recovers $8.1\%$ of confident catalog events below $30 M_{\odot}$, $39.8\%$ between $30$ and $100 M_{\odot}$, and $53.3\%$ above $100 M_{\odot}$, corresponding to $33.3\%$, $45.5\%$ and $53.3\%$ of the events detected by coherent WaveBurst in the same bins. These results suggest that anomaly detection pipelines can serve as an independent detection channel complementary to matched filtering in the high-mass high-SNR regime.


FlashSinkhorn 2: Block-Sparse Entropic Optimal Transport

Authors: Felix X. -F. Ye, Yu Chin Fabian Lim, Naigang Wang, Davis Wertheimer
Comments: No comment found
Primary Category: cs.AI
All Categories: cs.AI, astro-ph.IM, math.NA

Streaming GPU solvers for entropic optimal transport (EOT), such as FlashSinkhorn, avoid storing the dense kernel but still evaluate all $n\times m$ point pairs in every Sinkhorn iteration. We present \textbf{FlashSinkhorn~2} (FS2), a solver for squared-Euclidean cost on low-dimensional point clouds that solves large discrete EOT problems to a prescribed marginal residual on a single GPU by coupling two stages. A coarse stage solves on cell centroids, lifts the potentials to every point and, when a sampled marginal check rejects the lift, continues on the centroids, replacing most point-level updates. A block-sparse fine stage then removes the centroid error that coarse updates cannot. Its Morton-ordered blocks support screening and fused tensor-core execution, and a threshold set by the block masses bounds each omitted tile's contribution to every row and column. On synthetic benchmarks, FS2 reaches the target residual on all 32 problems and GeomLoss multiscale on 10. On one A100, FS2 solves discrete EOT between two $1.34\times10^8$-particle measures from a cosmological $N$-body simulation, at an entropic blur equal to the mean interparticle distance, to an all-particle marginal residual below 0.01 in under 2.5 hours. To our knowledge, it is the largest discrete EOT problem solved to this accuracy within hours. For reproducibility, we release an open-source implementation at https://github.com/ot-triton-lab/flash-sinkhorn


Post-Training Quantization of Autoregressive Weather Models

Authors: Ananyo Bhattacharya, Swastik Bhattacharya, Christiane Jablonowski
Comments: No comment found
Primary Category: cs.LG
All Categories: cs.LG, astro-ph.EP

Advancements in high-resolution numerical weather prediction (NWP) and data assimilation (DA) have shaped the developments in deep learning (DL) architectures emulating atmospheric dynamics. Emulators for weather forecasting exhibit forecast quality comparable to physics based models at forecast horizon scaling from few days to subseasonal time scales. The emulators are driven by hardware-accelerated matrix multiplication in autoregressive inferences, significantly reducing the computation time and resources required for NWP. Optimization of the matrix multiplication processes in GPU architectures provides opportunities to scale towards high-resolution domain, and offers implementation of out of the box solutions. Post-training quantization (PTQ) has been demonstrated across multiple DL architectures to accelerate and increase the number of computations in unit time while consuming less power, enabling applications on edge hardware. In this study, we investigate the effect of PTQ on pre-trained AI emulators for global-scale weather forecasting. We implement PTQ algorithms in Deep Learning Weather Prediction (DLWP) and FourCastNet (FCN) models as a proof of concept for geophysical fluid dynamics applications. We systematically investigate the effect of PTQ on emulator inferences over short-range forecast horizons. Evaluation of PTQ configurations using simulated quantization hints at qualitatively meaningful forecasts over short-time horizons. These results provide a first benchmark of PTQ for autoregressive weather emulators and a basis for quantization-based optimization of DL models for dynamical systems.