search_query=cat:astro-ph.*+AND+lastUpdatedDate:[202609102000+TO+202609162000]&start=0&max_results=5000
Ensuring the reliability of black-box machine learning models in safety-critical space missions remains a significant challenge, particularly when ground-truth is unavailable for validation. Although machine learning models offer a powerful means to augment standard pipelines by extracting transmission spectra from complex exoplanetary light curves, their susceptibility to unmodelled instrument anomalies, stellar activity, and domain shifts introduces unquantified risks. This study evaluates a modular safety cage architecture that operates as a parallel monitoring layer to assess the validity of a prediction without modifying the underlying estimator. By monitoring different runtime indicators, including uncertainty quantification, out-of-domain detection, and influence functions, the framework constrains the model's operational domain to a verified region. A controlled evaluation is conducted under both in-domain and cross-domain conditions, using datasets from the 2019 and 2021 editions of the Ariel Data Challenges. The results reveal that model failure is multifaceted and that no single indicator captures all failure modes, demonstrating the need for indicator fusion. The application of safety-driven rejection strategies shows that a modest 20% reduction in data coverage results in error reductions between 45% and 65% across different domains and evaluation metrics. Using a formalised coverage-risk framework, a systematic analysis of indicator combinations is performed to identify configurations that maximise risk-ranking accuracy and optimise the trade-off between data coverage and scientific performance. Safety cages provide a transparent mechanism for detecting unreliable predictions and represent a critical step towards the safe deployment of data-driven models in scientific applications, such as astrophysics, where ground truth is seldom available.
Ringdown gravitational waves from binary black hole mergers can be modeled as superpositions of quasinormal modes (QNMs), whose frequencies and excitation factors encode properties of the remnant Kerr black hole. Reliable extraction of multiple QNM components is challenging because of mode overlap and noise. We develop an autoencoder-based framework for multi-component QNM analysis, in which the latent space is trained to represent the physical parameters of individual modes, enabling waveform denoising and parameter estimation within a common framework. Using controlled model waveforms constructed as finite sums of Kerr QNMs with recently established high-precision frequencies and excitation factors, including their nontrivial spin dependence near resonant excitation, we assess the method across partitioned spin intervals. The model achieves good in-domain waveform reconstruction and parameter recovery for the two longest-lived components of eight-component input waveforms, while its performance degrades when the validation spins lie far outside the training range. In a selected spin interval, the framework also recovers the 32 parameters of an eight-component waveform with good overall agreement. These results demonstrate the feasibility of physics-informed autoencoder-based inference for a prescribed multi-component ringdown waveform family and motivate further tests with progressively more realistic signals.